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Macro by Mark
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OverviewThe flagship learning arc.ConceptsCore measures, terms, and mechanisms.PolicyFiscal, monetary, and transmission routes.
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SchoolsCompeting macro traditions.CompareLine up schools and assumptions.HistoryHow the field evolved.
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ModelsEmpirical, structural, and theoretical routes.GlossaryFast definitions while you learn.
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Theory-Based Models

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Macro by Mark

U.S. macro data with release timing, boards, and macro context.

Public U.S. data from agencies and market feeds.

MarkJayson.com

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Theory-Based Models

Taylor Rule

A policy rule linking the nominal interest rate to inflation and output gaps, giving a compact view of monetary reaction functions.

Introductoryrule line
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Theory-Based Models

Explore

Route section

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Scenario

Taylor Rule scenario

This page starts from the current parameter state for the selected model.

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Controls

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Rule
State
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Shock presets

Hawkish shift

Raises the inflation response coefficient.

Overheating economy

Pushes the active point to a positive output gap.

Introductory

Current rule rate

Policy rate

4.50

Inflation gap

0.20

Inflation response

1.50

Output-gap response

0.50

Impact summary

The active Taylor rule implies a policy rate of 4.50 for the current inflation and output-gap mix.

With little or negative gap pressure, the rule leans less on activity and more on the inflation term.