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Macro by Mark
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Theory-Based Models

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Macro by Mark

U.S. macro data with release timing, boards, and macro context.

Public U.S. data from agencies and market feeds.

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Theory-Based Models

RBC Simplified

A stripped-down real business cycle setup linking productivity, capital accumulation, and intertemporal return conditions.

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Theory-Based Models

Proof

Route section

Read the derivation as a document, with the math typeset directly and the intermediate chains tucked behind expandable steps.

Sections

Setup and notationProduction and capital lawEuler condition and steady returnProductivity and patience shifts

Setup and notation

The simplified RBC route keeps only the real side: production, capital accumulation, and an Euler-style return condition.

y=Akαy = A k^{\alpha}y=Akα
k′=(1−δ)k+ik' = (1 - \delta)k + ik′=(1−δ)k+i

Production and capital law

A productivity shock changes the scale of output today and shifts the desired capital path over time.

MPK=αAkα−1MPK = \alpha A k^{\alpha - 1}MPK=αAkα−1

Euler condition and steady return

In steady state, the marginal return on capital must align with the discount factor once depreciation is accounted for.

1β−1+δ=αAkα−1\frac{1}{\beta} - 1 + \delta = \alpha A k^{\alpha - 1}β1​−1+δ=αAkα−1

Productivity and patience shifts

Higher productivity or greater patience both support a larger steady-state capital stock.

∂k∗∂A>0,∂k∗∂β>0\frac{\partial k^*}{\partial A} > 0, \qquad \frac{\partial k^*}{\partial \beta} > 0∂A∂k∗​>0,∂β∂k∗​>0

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RBC

How does a productivity-driven real economy adjust through capital and consumption?

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