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Theory-Based Models

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Macro by Mark

U.S. macro data with release timing, boards, and macro context.

Public U.S. data from agencies and market feeds.

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Theory-Based Models

AD-AS Model

A short-run demand and supply framework showing how price level and output move when demand or cost conditions shift around long-run capacity.

Introductoryshift equilibrium
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Theory-Based Models

Proof

Route section

Read the derivation as a document, with the math typeset directly and the intermediate chains tucked behind expandable steps.

Sections

Setup and notationAggregate demand scheduleShort-run supply scheduleShort-run equilibriumLong-run anchor and adjustments

Setup and notation

The route writes aggregate demand and short-run aggregate supply as linear schedules around a long-run output anchor.

P=AD0−AD1YP = AD_0 - AD_1 YP=AD0​−AD1​Y
P=AS0+AS1YP = AS_0 + AS_1 YP=AS0​+AS1​Y
Y=Y∗Y = Y^*Y=Y∗

Aggregate demand schedule

A higher price level reduces real balances and dampens demand, so the AD schedule slopes downward.

∂P∂Y∣AD=−AD1\frac{\partial P}{\partial Y}\Big|_{AD} = -AD_1∂Y∂P​​AD​=−AD1​

Short-run supply schedule

Short-run supply is upward sloping because marginal cost rises as firms push output above normal utilization.

∂P∂Y∣SRAS=AS1\frac{\partial P}{\partial Y}\Big|_{SRAS} = AS_1∂Y∂P​​SRAS​=AS1​

Short-run equilibrium

Equilibrium is the crossing of AD and SRAS.

AD0−AD1Y=AS0+AS1YAD_0 - AD_1 Y = AS_0 + AS_1 YAD0​−AD1​Y=AS0​+AS1​Y
Y∗=AD0−AS0AD1+AS1Y^* = \frac{AD_0 - AS_0}{AD_1 + AS_1}Y∗=AD1​+AS1​AD0​−AS0​​
P∗=AD0−AD1Y∗P^* = AD_0 - AD_1 Y^*P∗=AD0​−AD1​Y∗

Long-run anchor and adjustments

When output differs from potential, the model treats that as a gap relative to the long-run capacity line.

gap=Y−Y∗gap = Y - Y^*gap=Y−Y∗

Capacity anchor

The long run is not another short-run curve shift. It is the level of output consistent with capacity.

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Introductory

AD-AS

What happens to output and prices when demand or supply shifts around capacity?

goods marketinflationpolicy
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