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Macro by Mark

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OverviewThe flagship learning arc.ConceptsCore measures, terms, and mechanisms.PolicyFiscal, monetary, and transmission routes.

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SchoolsCompeting macro traditions.CompareLine up schools and assumptions.HistoryHow the field evolved.

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ModelsEmpirical, structural, and theoretical routes.GlossaryFast definitions while you learn.
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Macro by Mark
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Macro
Overview
OverviewThe flagship learning arc.ConceptsCore measures, terms, and mechanisms.PolicyFiscal, monetary, and transmission routes.
Debate and context
SchoolsCompeting macro traditions.CompareLine up schools and assumptions.HistoryHow the field evolved.
Work with it
ModelsEmpirical, structural, and theoretical routes.GlossaryFast definitions while you learn.
News
Calendar
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Tracked categories
All libraryThe full tracked working set.GrowthOpen this indicator lane.Prices & InflationOpen this indicator lane.Labor MarketOpen this indicator lane.Monetary & Financial ConditionsOpen this indicator lane.Nowcasting & Leading IndicatorsOpen this indicator lane.
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Starter setCurated core series first.Global trackedCommitted non-U.S. public slice.Source searchSearch deeper provider catalogs.API & dataPublic routes, export, and docs.
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Data-Driven Models

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Macro by Mark

U.S. macro data with release timing, boards, and macro context.

Public U.S. data from agencies and market feeds.

MarkJayson.com

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© 2026 Mark Jayson Martinez Farol

Data-Driven Models

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Data-Driven Models

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Workflow step

Search the live forecast registry for macro series that can move into the ARIMA baseline flow now.

Registry results

8 matches

Real GDP

BEAquarterlyGrowth

Quarterly real GDP baseline suitable for slow-moving growth projections.

Core PCE

BEAmonthlyPrices & Inflation

Monthly core PCE price index for persistent inflation baselines.

Headline CPI

FREDmonthlyPrices & Inflation

Headline CPI baseline for broad consumer inflation tracking.

Unemployment rate

FREDmonthlyLabor Market

Monthly unemployment rate baseline for labor-market drift.

Nonfarm payrolls

FREDmonthlyLabor Market

Monthly payrolls baseline for labor momentum and release monitoring.

Retail sales

CENSUSmonthlyGrowth

Monthly consumer demand baseline for near-term spending trends.

Construction spending

CENSUSmonthlyGrowth

Monthly construction baseline for fixed-investment and housing-adjacent demand.

Business applications

CENSUSmonthlyNowcasting & Leading Indicators

Monthly business formation baseline for leading growth and entrepreneurship signals.

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