Glossary
Macro terms, data terms, and platform terms in one place
Search matches term names, aliases, categories, and definitions.
Platform-specific workflow terms are marked separately from standard macro vocabulary.
Growth and output
A series that tends to move ahead of the broader economy and can hint at a coming turn in the cycle.
Data and releases
Converting a monthly or quarterly pace into an annual rate so it is easier to compare with other annualized series.
How often a series is observed, such as daily, weekly, monthly, quarterly, or annual.
A normalized level series built around a chosen base period rather than a direct dollar or quantity level.
One dated value inside a time series.
A sequence of observations over time for one variable.
Models and projections
A time-series forecasting family built around autoregressive, differencing, and moving-average components.
A long-run relationship that ties nonstationary series together even when they move separately in the short run.
A forecast built from a small system of variables that move together and help explain one another.
A curated set of indicators admitted into a model because each series carries a clear role in the structural or empirical read.
A forecast built around one target series, its own history, and direct benchmarks.
A change in the underlying behavior of the economy or series, such as moving from expansion to recession.
A multivariate forecasting model in which each variable depends on its own past and the past of the other variables.
A multivariate model for cointegrated series that keeps short-run changes tied to a long-run equilibrium.
Site and workflow
A dashboard block such as a headline metric, time-series chart, comparison tile, or table.
Institutions and sources
A St. Louis Fed service that organizes economic time series and release metadata from many public sources.
The application interface that allows software to search FRED series, release dates, and observations programmatically.
