Business cycle
The recurring pattern of expansion, slowdown, recession, and recovery in overall economic activity.
Glossary
Macro terms, data terms, and platform terms in one place
Search matches term names, aliases, categories, and definitions.
Platform-specific workflow terms are marked separately from standard macro vocabulary.
Macro foundations
The recurring pattern of expansion, slowdown, recession, and recovery in overall economic activity.
A phase of the cycle when output, income, and employment are generally rising.
A sharp slowdown or recession that follows a tightening cycle or other macro adjustment.
A broad decline in economic activity that usually shows up in output, employment, income, and spending.
A slowdown that cools inflation or excess demand without tipping the economy into a deep recession.
Prices and inflation
A period when inflation stays elevated while growth weakens and labor-market conditions soften.
Models and projections
A probability model often used for recession-risk or state-transition classification.
A change in the underlying behavior of the economy or series, such as moving from expansion to recession.
A move into a different macro state, such as a recession-risk regime or a more persistent inflation regime.